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第一個眾所周知的消息：3月25日，美國空軍部長邁克爾·溫在五角大樓的新聞發布會上表示，「民兵」III洲際彈道導彈的四個頭錐是在2005年3月從美國懷俄明州的空軍基地運送至猶他州的後勤中心倉庫，2006年秋天被運送至台灣。民兵」III是美國現役的地對地三級固體燃料洲際彈道導彈，屬於美國第一種採用分導式多彈頭技術的導彈。美國總統小布希在打給中國胡主席的電話中將此解釋為「誤運」。
第二個（更新）消息：4月2日早上1點01分(北京時間2日16時01分)美國空軍從位於加州的范登堡空軍基地成功地試射了一枚未裝彈頭的民兵III型洲際導彈。其未裝彈的再進入裝置在太平洋上空飛行了6700公里后擊中了馬紹爾群島里根實驗場的一個目標。空軍稱，試射實驗了民兵III型洲際導彈的可靠性和精確性，這也是為了驗證出於安全要求而重新設計的飛行中止系統的部件。
第三個（最新）消息：4月2日新聞：中國將有關伊朗核計劃的數據情報提交給IAEA（見后附英文消息）
如此「尖端」的敏感信息在台3.22大選之後的時機密集出台，絕不是偶然，幾乎已到「圖窮匕現」、彼此「將軍」的地步了！美生怕中相信了邁克爾·溫所特彆強調的，這些頭錐是「老舊」部件，因為其所配備的「民兵」III洲際核彈道導彈是美國1962年研製的產品而不明白台已獲得的「長程(洲際）」分導導彈核武器關鍵技術的極端敏感性和先進性，立刻用同型導彈6700公里的試射強力證明該技術的可靠和精確性。是如台灣《中國時報》評論與台國防大學一位不願具名的專家所評論的「此事有可能涉及美軍秘密協助台灣發展彈道導彈，或是台灣秘密轉購美軍導彈技術等可能性，但主要目的應該都在警告中共。」在向中發強硬信號？還是表示對助台發展進攻性威懾武器政策的改弦更張？
中國以什麼手段反擊（或妥協）？試問，若中伊沒有在核計劃方面的緊密合作，中國如何會掌握伊朗核計劃的情報信息？想必中國不會將類似於美向聯合國提交的」伊拉克擁有大規模殺傷性武器「之類的情報提交IAEA吧？是示強的反擊：你不是警告我你會以長程（核）導彈武裝台灣的潛在手段嗎？我將以（核）武裝伊朗作為反擊；還是示弱的妥協：既然你已表示不再秘密助台發展進攻性武器，我也停止與伊朗的核合作計劃？
從美方立即實施的後續手段來看，加強了美」陰謀論「的證據；更可能是示強，而中國為確保奧運順利舉行而在西藏」忍辱負重「之後再續之以」主動交待「來進一步示弱，可能嗎？
這一切實非我等蒙在鼓裡的小民所能確知了。事態如何進一步發展，雙方還有什麼後續著法，請拭目以待！
附：美聯社有關報道（怕被忽悠，不敢轉貼CNN的信息了）
Nuclear watchdog gets China's Iran intel
By GEORGE JAHN, Associated Press Writer Wed Apr 2, 5:01 PM ET
VIENNA, Austria - China gave the International Atomic Energy Agency intelligence about Iran's nuclear program despite Beijing's opposition to harsh U.N. Security Council sanctions on Tehran, according to diplomats familiar with the matter.
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China and Russia have acted as a brake within the Security Council, consistently watering down a U.S.-led push to impose severe penalties on Tehran. A Chinese decision to provide information for a probe into Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program could be a sign of growing international unease about the Islamic republic's denials that it never tried to make nuclear weapons.
The new development was revealed to The Associated Press by two senior diplomats who closely follow the IAEA probe of Iran's nuclear program.
The IAEA declined comment and no one answered the phone Wednesday at either the Chinese or Iranian missions to the IAEA.
The diplomats — who requested anonymity because their information was confidential — said China was the most surprising of a substantial list of nations that have recently forwarded information that could be relevant in attempts to probe past or present nuclear weapons research by Iran.
State Department spokesman Sean McCormack told reporters Wednesday that he could not confirm that China had provided information on Iran.
"We've worked very well with China on the issue overall," McCormack said.
John Bolton, who has served as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations and U.S. undersecretary of state in charge of the Iran nuclear dossier, said any such Chinese move would be "potentially significant" because of Beijing's former military ties to Tehran.
"We have known or felt for some time that both in the ballistic missile field and in the nuclear field there has been cooperation for some time," he said in a interview. "The Chinese have systematically denied cooperation in the nuclear field."
The diplomats who revealed the Chinese cooperation said the U.N. nuclear watchdog had started getting more information from member nations after a February presentation by the agency to its 35 board members summarizing the intelligence on Iran's alleged clandestine nuclear arms program.
Iran said last month that any information suggesting it ever had a nuclear arms program was fabricated and the issue was closed.
In the first test of whether Iran will truly stonewall the IAEA in its attempt to probe the alleged military programs, director general Olli Heinonen plans to meet in coming days with Ali-Ashgar Soltanieh, Iran's chief delegate to the agency, to press for answers, diplomats said.
Suspected weapons-related work outlined in the February presentation and IAEA reports preceding it include:
• Uranium conversion linked to high explosives testing and designs of a missile re-entry vehicle, all apparently interconnected through involvement of officials and institutions.
• Procurement of so-called "dual use" equipment and experiments that also could be used in both civilian and military nuclear programs.
• Iran's possession of a 15-page document outlining how to form uranium metal into the shape of a warhead. |
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