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對於跨行業「專家」轉述的所謂「科學」證據要慎重
比如這位伊恩.史蒂芬森教授吧。Ian Stevenson是一個嚴肅的研究者。那麼他到底怎麼看他分析的這些輪迴案例呢。我們來看看他最後發表的一篇論文里是怎麼說的好不好?
Schouten SA, Stevenson I. Does the socio-psychological hypothesis explain cases of the reincarnation type? J Nerv Ment Dis. 1998 Aug;186(8):504-6.
CORT (Cases Of the Reincarnation Type)are most readily found in cultures in which the belief in reincarnation is taken for granted by many. (Instances also occur, less frequently, in other parts of the world.) Although the persons involved in CORT usually consider the experience as an instance of reincarnation, it is plausible to think that the nature and the reports of these cases are influenced, or perhaps can be entirely explained, by psychological and cultural processes. Examples of hypotheses based on such processes are the "socio-psychological" hypothesis (Brody, 1979; Chari, 1962, 1987; Stevenson and Samararatne 1988) and the "construction of an alternate personality" hypothesis of Mills (1989).
Stevenson and Samararatne (1988, p. 237) have expressed the explanation based on the "socio-psychological" hypothesis as follows: In a culture having a belief in reincarnation a child who seems to speak about a previous life will be encouraged to say more. What he says then leads his parents somehow to find another family whose members come to believe that the child has been speaking about a deceased member of their family. The two families exchange information about details, and they end by crediting the subject with having had much more knowledge about the identified deceased person than he really had had.
Because this explanation rests on established socio-psychological processes, it offers one of the best explanations for CORT in terms of known and nonparanormal processes.
儘管他的假說在這篇論文里沒有被證實,但是Stevenson本文並未就輪迴存在有科學證據來下結論。再看看他為什麼強調輪迴案例頻發於相信輪迴的文化氛圍這個現象,可見他的傾向性。
另外,那個英國的 Sam Parnia醫生的事情,我也已經批駁過多次了,在醫學期刊上也早就公開受到質疑。這樣的例子也還是不要再用為好。
最後建議一點,一個金融專家,不管他在自己專業上多麼有權威,談起自然科學來,不比門口賣大餅的強多少。這種跨行業的專家來講科學證據,當成茶餘飯後的談資,足矣。
[ 本帖最後由 在美一方 於 2007-8-28 03:26 編輯 ] |
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