全社會各方面收集數據形成新的經濟理論

應該儘可能地從各方面收集社會的經濟數據，尋找出規律，找出合理的比例和平衡點，發展新的理論，動態地調整不同產業  We should collect social economic data from all aspects as much as possible, find out the rules, find reasonable ratios and balance points, develop new theories, and dynamically adjust different industries
我不是經濟學家，我知道在宏觀經濟中是有一些指數的，這些指數會告訴你宏觀經濟現在處於什麼情形，是否健康，可能需要哪些方面的調整. 老實說這些指數數量有限，是比較粗放的. 就像以前老裁縫做衣服，他只要量幾個人體參數就行. 比如胸圍腰圍肱圍，肩膀到胸到腰的長度就行了，別的憑經驗看體型收放就可以. 但是現代化的裁剪，3D立體裁剪，需要更多的人體參數，還要考慮人的動態參數，性格氣質，職業教育背景等等. 以大數據為背景的經濟管理，就像現代裁剪，從不同角度各個方面來估量獲得的數據，以前那些指數就顯得遠遠不夠了. 我聽說 Costco的 CEO對 Sam's Club很有微辭，那是當然的，因為他們是競爭對手啊. 那我就要說，有很多需求量不大但很有特色的貨，可能他們兩家都不銷售，因為他們有重疊所以才競爭. 好的管理者，可不可以引導其中一家去銷售市場上兩家互補的產品呢，這樣就不會惡性競爭了，既有利潤又可以盡大可能完整覆蓋市場，滿足市場需要呢？當某些改變市場結構的新科技在地平線出現的時候，就可以未雨綢繆平穩調整市場產業.  比如說中國的建築業產能過剩，那就應該尋找新市場打破地域界限，不造成經濟動蕩. 現在社會對市場的需求和供應是沒有精確概念的，純粹靠市場調節那是不可靠的. 因為盲目，因為供大於求，因為缺少控制，才會有周期性的經濟危機. 最厲害一次 2008年的，到現在還沒有完全恢復呢. 現在應該儘可能地從各方面收集社會的經濟數據，尋找出規律，找出合理的比例和平衡點，發展新的理論，動態地調整不同產業，讓經濟運行也象88的性格那樣，遊刃有餘而不越矩. 看來劉鶴要忙了. 而如要讓經濟平穩運行，只靠劉鶴是不夠的，得靠您，親愛的主席，88，在全球進行協調. 中國在貴州建立了大數據中心, 所收集的一定不只是中國自己的數據. 我不知道中國的最高目標是什麼，如果是象林尚立那樣只是注重文字的，那最高層的參數和理論可能都是別人制訂的，中國只作中下層的巨大基礎數據分析工程，並將結果送往中國人不做主導的決策中心. 一旦決策中心從這些數據中得出的結論啟動下一步的調整行動時，親愛的主席，88，你們就是首當其衝的全球協調者. 現在是這麼一個分工合作嗎？你們願意一直接受像iPad這樣子的在中國的大規模組裝生產模式嗎？如果88 你想讓林尚立成為全球政治經濟各方面諮詢服務dominant provider, 因為你們有30年改革開放的無與倫比的成功經驗，你應該多找像我這樣知識背景的人合作.

I am not an economist. I know that there are some indexes in the macro economy. These indexes will tell you what the macro economy is now, whether it is healthy, and what adjustments may be required. To be honest, these indexes are limited in number and are relatively extensive. Yes. Just like the old tailor who made clothes, he only needs to measure a few human parameters. For example, the bust, waist, arm circumference, shoulder to chest to waist length, other things. He can see the body size according to experience. But Modern cutting and 3D cutting require more human parameters. Clothing also needs to consider people's dynamic parameters, personality temperament, vocational education background, etc. Economic management based on big data is just like modern tailoring, we need to estimate the data obtained from different angles in various aspects, so the previous indexes seem to be far from enough. I heard that the CEO of Costco said very little about Sam's Club. That is of course, because they are competitors. Then I have to say that there are a lot of unique goods with little demand, Maybe neither of them sells. And because they have overlapping sales, they only compete. Can a good manager guide one of them to sell  complementary products on the market, so that there will be no vicious competition. Everyone has profits and can cover the market as completely as possible to meet market needs? When some new technologies that change the market structure appear on the horizon, we can plan ahead and steadily adjust the market industry. For example, if China's construction industry has overcapacity, it should break the geographical boundaries to find new markets without causing economic turmoil. Now in society there is no precise concept of market demand and supply. It is unreliable to regulate the economy purely by the market. Because it is blind to the market, because the market exceeds supply, and because the market lacks control, there will be a cyclical economic crisis. The most severe one In 2008, the world economy has not yet fully recovered. It is time to collect social economic data from all aspects as far as possible, find laws, find reasonable ratios and balance points, develop new theories, and dynamically adjust different industry, let the economy run like 88's character, stable and not overwhelming. It seems that Liu He is going to be busy. And if you want the economy to run smoothly, it is not enough to rely on Liu He alone, you, Dear Chairman, 88, coordinate globally. China has established a big data center in Guizhou. The data collected must not only be China 』s own data. I don』t know what is the highest goal of China. If Lin Shangli is just paying attention to words, the highest level parameters and theories may have been formulated by others. China only makes huge basic data analysis projects at the middle and lower levels, and sends the results to the decision-making centers where the Chinese do not dominate. Once the decision-making center draws conclusions from these data, it starts In the next adjustment action. Dear Chairman, 88, you are the first global coordinator. Is this such a division of labor and cooperation? Are you willing to accept the large-scale assembly and production model in China like the iPad? If 88, you want Lin Shangli to become a dominant provider of consulting services in all aspects of global politics and economy, because you have 30 years of unparalleled success in reform and opening up, you should find more people like me to cooperate.