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本帖最後由 前兆 於 2015-11-2 20:47 編輯
CHOICES OF LU』S ARTICLES (10) 呂 氏 精 選 (10)比天氣預報準確
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IS NOT ONLY IN THE ASPECT OF TIME WITH ASTONISHING ACCURACY, BUT ALSO IN THE ASPECT OF SPACE IT IS A KIND OF TECHNOLOGY OF REMOTE MEASUREMENT 地震預報: 比天氣預報準確,而且還可以遙測 !
As everyone knows, earthquake prediction has been an arduous problem through all ages. However, thirty years ago Prof. Dajiong Lu — Physicist and Seismologist — the author of book 「Earthquake Prediction: more accurate than weather forecast」 has predicted some earthquakes successfully. Moreover, Lu』s predicting results revealed that the earthquake prediction is not only in the aspect of time with astonishing accuracy, but also in the aspect of space it is a kind of technology of remote measurement under certain conditions, namely, Human Being can predict successfully earthquakes near local station of earthquake prediction as well as strong teleseisms shich may be over several thousand km away from same station of earthquake prediction. In 1977, Prof. Dajiong Lu predicted successfully three elements of some strong teleseisms, it is the first time in the world.
In 1976, an atrocious strong earthquake with almost magnitude 8 occurred in Tang Shan, China. 240,000 people died at one moment. The loss was countless. The Physicist Dajiong Lu started to be engaged in research on earthquake prediction since twelveth day after the Tang Shan earthquake. Prof. Lu induced and summarized the space and time characteristics of sudden change precursors, precursor modes, extremum coincidence method and the natural law of correlation between precursors of teleseisms and near earthquake. Furthermore, Prof. Lu had predicted accurately teleseisms and near earthquakes many times. In consequence Prof. Lu made an outstanding contribution to human enterprise of earthquake prediction.
Prof. Dajiong Lu』s research achievements has obtained some high evaluation from persons with breadths of vision in all over the world. Prof. J. Tarney, the Director of the Department of Geology, University of Leicester, U.K. reported to the British Council that: 「Dr. Lu Dajiong is clearly a first-rate scientist…」 Prof. K. Alexopoulos, the Academisian in Greece Academy of Science, had sent a ketter for congratulating Dajiong Lu on Lu』s successful prediction first of all in the world for three elements of teleseism which occurred in the Ogasawara Isles of Japan in Dec. 21, 1977. Mr. Yasuhiro Nakasone, Former Prime Minister of Japan, in his title as a Japan Cabinet Prime Minister said in a letter after he had read this dialogue of earthquake prediction in the Chinese version:」…(your book) attracts readers so much just due to its excellent theory, I am very interested in it after reading…」 Prof. Nicolayef, the Director of Geophsics Institute of the Soviet Russia Academy of Science, the Director of Geophsics Department of the Moscow University said that: Our many Professors read with respect the book 「Impending Earthquake Prediction」 written by Prof. Dajiong Lu, all of us give very high evaluation for his book.
It』s regrettable that: Today after 30 years, the research result has not had due development and further research. Every time News report that a strong earthquake occurred in somewhere and casualties are innumerable and too ghastly to look at, Prof. Dajiong Lu always feels bitter about: For one side, people already possess preliminary experience in precise earthquake prediction, for another side, people still continue to suffer ruin from earthquake demon. Therefore Prof. Dajiong Lu considers that it』s necessary to publish a scientific popular edition to introduce Lu』s theory and method of earthquake prediction and arouse attention to scientists and human being in the world.
This book 「EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION more Accurate than Weather forecast」 could be used as a reference for professionals of earthquake prediction, but it is also especially suitable for numerous teenagers who have lively intellectual hunger.
地震預報:
比天氣預報準確,而且還可以遙測 !
眾所周知, 地震預報是一個世界難題. 但是在三十年前, 本書作者—-物理學家兼地震學家—-呂大炯研究員已經成功地預報了某些地震, 並且他的預報結果顯示: 在時間方面, 地震預報可以做到比天氣預報更加準確; 在空間方面, 不僅可以預報臺站附近的地震, 而且可以預報離臺站幾千公裏以外的強烈遠震. 一九七七年, 呂大炯研究員在世界上首次成功地預報了某些遠震的震中,震級與震時三要素.
一九七六年, 中國唐山市發生了駭人聽聞的近八級的大地震, 24 萬人死於同一瞬間, 損失更是不計其數. 物理學家呂大炯就從唐山大地震後第 12 天開始從事地震預報的研究工作. 他歸納總結出地震突變前兆的時空特性, 臨震預報的前兆模式與極值重合方法, 以及遠近震前兆相關定律, 並準確地預報了多次遠震與近震, 因而他對人類的地震預報事業做出了卓越的貢獻.
本書作者呂大炯的研究成果已經獲得了國際上有識之士的高度評價. 英國科學家曼徹特大學地質系主任傑 . 泰尼教授在給英國文化委員會的報告中寫道: 「很明顯, 呂大炯是第一流科學家」 ; 希臘科學院院士阿列克索波羅斯教授來信祝賀呂大炯在世界上首次成功地預報了 1977 年12月21日日本小笠原群島遠震三要素; 日本前首相中曾根康弘以日本國內閣總理大臣的名義在來函中稱: 呂大炯所著[震兆雲霞]一書, 」以卓越的理論吸引讀者, 我讀完以後也感到無比的興趣.」 前蘇聯科學院地球物理所所長, 莫斯科大學地球物理系主任尼古拉耶夫教授說: 「我們的許多教授都拜讀了呂大炯教授的[臨震預報]這本專著, 大家一致給予很高的評價.」
可惜的是, 三十年後的今天, 這項研究成果並沒有得到進一步的研究和應有的發展. 每當新聞裏報道某地發生大地震, 死傷無數, 慘不忍睹的時候, 呂大炯總是感到無比的痛心: 一方面人類已經擁有精確預報地震的初步經歷; 另一方面人類仍然繼續不斷地遭受地震悪魔的摧殘! 為此, 呂大炯認為有必要再次出版一本關於地震預報的通俗易懂的科普讀物, 來介紹他的地震預報理論與方法, 以再次喚起全世界科學家和全人類的註意!
本書可以作為從事地震預報的專業人員開闊思路之參考, 同時它也適合於熱愛知識, 追求真理的廣大青少年閱讀.
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