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已有(71)人發表了評論
- 回復 舉報 [ 50樓 遊客 (2001:569:x:x:ad89) ] 發表於
- 未來一段時間，台灣不會在法理獨立，美台不會建交，中共面子上過得去。台灣與美國及民主國家官方往來會越來越多，經貿關係也會越來越多。
- 回復 舉報 [ 45樓 syy ] 發表於
- 「要把（大陸）這種軍事冒進的『代價』提高到中國（大陸）不願意付出的程度。（美國）要非常小心謹慎地處理這一問題，努力避免引發衝突。」 從這段話可以看出，「軍事代價」，不僅是對中國的，也是對美國的。當台海局勢發展到一定程度，甚至內部壓力可以動搖中共統治和習近平下台的時候，那麼中共攻台也就不得不實施。
- 回復 舉報 [ 40樓 遊客 (58.173.x.x) ] 發表於
- 美國覺醒來的時間還不長，應該先完全脫鉤斷交圍困封鎖……，用非熱戰手段削弱中共的經濟，就像對待古巴伊朗那樣。關鍵是美國要團結盡量多的盟國，美國自己的反共政策也要長久，形成兩黨共識，不要被選舉左右。
- 回復 舉報 [ 39樓 中國的中2 ] 發表於
- Marco Rubio: The only thing that would prevent that from happening is if the cost of doing that is too high, and so my view is the first thing is that we should help Taiwan not to win an all-out conflict against China, that』s not possible, but to have the capability to raise the cost of military adventurism there to a level that China』s not willing to pay and navigate that very carefully with an effort not to try to trigger a conflict like that from happening. That』s, I think, the best hope that we have at this point in managing that relationship, but it』s a very difficult one, it』s a challenging and tricky one, and I do think we have to navigate it very carefully and not be overly provocative, but also not be provocative in the reverse by almost inviting a Chinese action there at some point here in the next decade.
- 回復 舉報 [ 37樓 中國的中2 ] 發表於
- Marco Rubio: It』s a tricky situation. Obviously, the Chinese position within Taiwan has eroded. As you saw in the recent elections in Taiwan, clearly those who oppose being linked to the mainland have grown both in prominence and political strength at the same time as the US has become a more assertive in its relations with Taiwan, sending now two high-ranking officials there in the last month-and-a-half, and you』ve seen an uptick in Chinese air incursions into the air defense zone as a messaging exercise. I do believe that eventually it is a red-line issue for China, and eventually, if necessary, they will move by force, if necessary, to exert their claims on Taiwan, and in many ways, what we』ve seen them do in Hong Kong is a test for that in the sense that that』s how they』d ideally want it to be.
- 回復 舉報 [ 36樓 遊客 (2600:1003:x:x::68c) ] 發表於
- 美台的最高境界就是把台始終放在棋盤上的最佳位置，如果玩得過火了，棋子和棋盤將不復存在了，這樣是不太符合美台的最大利益，千萬不可亂來，如果玩廢了，棋子就一定會成為棄子，到時候，台一定是欲哭無淚，始終保持清醒的頭腦，使自己成為一個不太危險或不是始終處於危機困境下的高風險棋子。長期的和平和不衝突是符合美中台三方利益的，千萬不要自己把自己有意無意的弄成被動局面，因為得不償失。
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