亦云

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COVID19案例的年齡相關性趨勢分析

作者：亦云於 2020-8-10 06:21 發表於最熱鬧的華人社交網路--貝殼村

作者分類:時事熱點評論|通用分類:熱點雜談|已有2評論

剛剛讀到報道Coronavirus: 20-29 age group now leading B.C. in confirmed caseshttps://globalnews.ca/news/7260136/coronavirus-20-29-age-group-b-c/的加拿大BC省5,6,7三個月份確診的COVID19案例不同年齡的統計數字，略作一些分析，結果如下：

1）確診案例主要年齡段集中在20-69歲，5,6,7三個月，佔總確診案例的75%左右；

2）確診案例的住院率和死亡率在10-79歲，在5,6,7三個月都是隨年齡的增大而增高。令人欣慰的是40歲以下的確診案例都治癒了。

3）20-29歲年齡段的確診案例佔總確診案例數的比率在逐月增加，這也許與逐漸re-open，這個年齡段比較活躍而不太嚴格注意physical distance 和過多的聚會有關吧。

4）確診案例數逐月增長。

6-May-20	% of cases	% of	% of
		hospitalized	death
Under 10: 20 cases. Hospitalized: 2. Deaths: 0	0.89	10.00	0
10-19: 38 cases. Hospitalized: 1. Deaths: 0	1.69	2.63	0
20-29: 214 cases. Hospitalized: 9. Deaths: 0	9.51	4.21	0
30-39: 390 cases. Hospitalized: 30. Deaths: 0	17.33	7.69	0
40-49: 342 cases. Hospitalized: 42. Deaths: 2	15.19	12.28	0.58
50-59: 443 cases. Hospitalized: 66. Deaths: 2	19.68	14.90	0.45
60-69: 301 cases. Hospitalized: 93. Deaths: 13	13.37	30.90	4.32
70-79: 213 cases. Hospitalized: 113. Deaths: 21	9.46	53.05	9.86
80-89: 185 cases. Hospitalized: 76. Deaths: 52	8.22	41.08	28.11
90- : 105 cases. Hospitalized: 30. Deaths: 34	4.66	28.57	32.38
Total: 2,251. Hospitalized: 462. Deaths: 124	100	20.52	5.51

6-Jun-20	% of cases	% of	% of
		hospitalized	death
Under 10: 32 cases. Hospitalized: 2. Deaths: 0	1.22	6.25	0
10-19: 53 cases. Hospitalized: 1. Deaths: 0	2.01	1.89	0
20-29: 281 cases. Hospitalized: 13. Deaths: 0	10.68	4.63	0
30-39: 455 cases. Hospitalized: 33. Deaths: 0	17.29	7.25	0
40-49: 399 cases. Hospitalized: 47. Deaths: 2	15.17	11.78	0.50
50-59: 502 cases. Hospitalized: 72. Deaths: 4	19.08	14.34	0.80
60-69: 326 cases. Hospitalized: 99. Deaths: 15	12.39	30.37	4.60
70-79: 242 cases. Hospitalized: 118. Deaths: 30	9.20	48.76	12.40
80-89: 213 cases. Hospitalized: 80. Deaths: 72	8.10	37.56	33.80
90- : 128 cases. Hospitalized: 31. Deaths: 44	4.87	24.22	34.38
Total: 2,631. Hospitalized: 496. Deaths: 167	100	18.85	6.35

6-Jul-20	% of cases	% of	% of
		hospitalized	death
Under 10: 49 cases. Hospitalized: 2. Deaths: 0	1.65	4.08	0
10-19: 78 cases. Hospitalized: 1. Deaths: 0	2.63	1.28	0
20-29: 355 cases. Hospitalized: 14. Deaths: 0	11.95	3.94	0
30-39: 514 cases. Hospitalized: 34. Deaths: 0	17.31	6.61	0
40-49: 440 cases. Hospitalized: 50. Deaths: 2	14.81	11.36	0.45
50-59: 544 cases. Hospitalized: 74. Deaths: 5	18.32	13.60	0.92
60-69: 342 cases. Hospitalized: 103. Deaths: 16	11.52	30.12	4.68
70-79: 264 cases. Hospitalized: 125. Deaths: 34	8.89	47.35	12.88
80-89: 238 cases. Hospitalized: 89. Deaths: 75	8.01	37.39	31.51
90- : 146 cases. Hospitalized: 34. Deaths: 51	4.92	23.29	34.93
Total: 2,970. Hospitalized: 526. Deaths: 183	100	17.71	6.16