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政府為幫凶,電車正在摧毀汽車工業

作者:chineseman  於 2023-3-29 02:45 發表於 最熱鬧的華人社交網路--貝殼村

通用分類:熱點雜談|已有2評論

電車正在毀掉汽車工業

電車只有政府禁止汽車才能活

福特的報告稱, 2023 年,它將在電動汽車上虧損 30 億美元。

與大多數汽車製造商不同,福特單獨報出其電動汽車數量,但專家估計,大多數汽車公司在這條「死胡同「業務上的損失金額相似。

福特對 Rivian 電動汽車的投資無濟於事。 去年,這家初創電動皮卡車製造商斥資 220,000 美元生產售價為 81,000 美元的電動汽車。

這對喬治索羅斯和 CalPERS 來說是個壞消息:加州龐大的公共僱員退休基金和一個擁有數十萬股 Rivian 股票的定時炸彈。

通用汽車和福特都預計他們的電動汽車將在幾年內實現盈利。 福特計劃到 2025 年每年生產 200 萬輛電動汽車。考慮到福特在 2022 年僅售出 61,575 輛電動汽車,這個目標令人瞠目結舌。它在 2023 2 月僅售出了 3,624 輛電動汽車。這距離 200 萬還有太長的路要走。

通用汽車計劃到 2025 年銷售 100 萬輛電動汽車。它在 2022 年銷售了不到 4 萬輛。

如果通用汽車和福特有熱門產品和未開發的市場需求,那麼這樣的預測可能是有道理的。 相反,有太多的電動汽車模型在追逐一個小市場。 電動車銷量至今仍未突破百萬大關。 大部分電動汽車活動繼續集中在豪華 SUV 市場,只有這麼多買家能夠負擔得起。

即使是「負擔得起」的電動汽車,如通用汽車的 Bolt,起價為 30,000 美元,公司出售每輛車的損失高達 9,000 美元。

 

創造電動汽車需求的唯一途徑是通過政府指令。

2035年後,如果你想在加州買一輛新車,要麼買電動車,要麼什麼也買不到。 加利福尼亞州對汽車製造商處以罰款,迫使他們從特斯拉等電動汽車製造商那裡購買信貸,為電動汽車行業提供資金。 2035 年,加州將完全消除競爭。

紐約、新澤西、俄勒岡和華盛頓也已採取行動禁止銷售新的汽車。 大約十幾個民主黨州也做出了類似的決定,禁止居民購買汽車。 弗吉尼亞州眾議院投票決定取消其汽車禁令,但該州的參議院民主黨人保留了該禁令。 在歐盟通過後,拜登在全國範圍內提出了類似的禁令。

2040 年,通用汽車預計將以此類禁令為前提停止製造和銷售汽車。

據報道,喬治·索羅斯 (George Soros) 在他的 Rivian 投資中損失了超過 10 億美元,而他的其他電動汽車投資可能看起來搖搖欲墜,但從長遠來看,他支持的左翼政客有望消除競爭,並將汽車從鄉村小路和高速公路上清除。

汽車製造商正在花費數十億美元來製造沒有人想要也沒有人買得起的電動汽車,因為政府已經向他們保證了一個專屬市場。 在所有這些錢都花光了之後,他們的遊說者正在積極向立法者施壓,要求他們實施新的禁令並維持現有的禁令。 他們還被補貼和稅收抵免的承諾所誘惑,這些承諾將使他們擺脫實際盈利的乏味業務。

醒來基金 (Woke funds) 和政黨捐助者一直在施加壓力,以確保它得到回報。

底特律打賭客戶只會接受這是新常態,並且會為更差的性能支付更高的價格,這是一個糟糕的賭注。 電動汽車的授權是民主黨的工作,儘管共和黨正在成為工人階級政黨,但該政黨與富裕精英密切相關。 假設當汽車保有量仍然是經濟和社會流動的關鍵時,一半的國家會接受被定價退出汽車市場的想法既傲慢又愚蠢。即使假設共和黨人仍然功能失調且智取成功,無法大幅推翻左翼議程,新車市場仍將大幅萎縮。 美國人將和古巴人一樣,將不顧一切地努力讓他們的舊車繼續行駛,因為對於這個國家的大部分地區來說,這將是唯一的選擇。 道路上的非法汽車數量將急劇增加。 但隨著限電和能源短缺繼續打擊加利福尼亞和其他也全力開發太陽能和風能的藍色州,這些將是唯一真正可以留在路上的汽車。

醒來汽車公司將把壟斷權交給他們,卻發現它一文不值。

像他們以前的歐洲同行一樣,美國汽車製造商將與政府更加緊密地糾纏在一起。 補貼和銷售的反向螺旋將在破產中達到高潮。 底特律未能創新,電動汽車影院無法替代實際做的工作來製造人們想要的汽車,而不是廣告公司試圖讓他們想要的汽車。

讓政府命令而不是消費者需求來推動銷售受到那些甚至放棄嘗試製造有吸引力的產品的公司的歡迎。 如果電動汽車的流行是有道理的,就不需要禁止汽車來使它們在經濟上可行。

美國汽車製造商過去是革命性的,現在他們是體制。

Electric Cars Are Bankrupting the Auto Industry

Only a government ban on cars can save them.

March 28, 2023 by Daniel Greenfield 23 Comments

61

 

Ford reported that it』s going to lose $3 billion on electric cars in 2023.

Unlike most automakers, Ford reports its electric vehicle numbers separately, but experts estimate that most car companies are losing similar amounts on the dead end business.

Ford』s investment in Rivian』s electric cars can』t be helping. Last year the startup electric pickup truck maker was spending $220,000 to make the electric vehicles that it sells for $81,000.

That』s bad news for George Soros and for CalPERS: California』s massive public employees retirement fund and a ticking time bomb which owns hundreds of thousands of shares in Rivian.

GM and Ford both project that their electric cars will be profitable in a few years. Ford plans to make 2 million electric cars every year by 2025. That would be impressive considering that Ford only sold 61,575 of them in 2022. It sold 3,624 electric vehicles in Feb 2023.

That』s a long way from 2 million.

GM plans to sell 1 million electric cars by 2025. It sold less than 40,000 in 2022.

Projections like these might make sense if GM and Ford had hot products and untapped market demand. Instead there are too many electric car models chasing a tiny market. Electric car sales have yet to break the million mark. Most of the electric car activity continues to be concentrated in the luxury SUV market which only has so many buyers able to afford them.

Even the 「affordable」 electric cars, like GM』s Bolt, start at $30,000, and lose as much as $9,000 for the company.

The only way to create demand for electric cars is through government mandates.

After 2035, if you want to buy a new car in California, it』s electric cars or it』s nothing. California』s mandates that fined car manufacturers, forcing them to buy credits from electric car makers like Tesla, financed the electric car industry. By 2035, California will simply eliminate the competition.

New York, New Jersey, Oregon and Washington have also moved to ban the sale of new cars. About a dozen Democrat states have similarly decided to prevent residents from buying cars. Virginia』s House voted to drop its car ban, but the state』s Senate Democrats have kept it in place. Biden has proposed a similar ban nationwide following its adoption by the EU.

By 2040, GM expects to stop making and selling cars on the assumption of such a ban.

George Soros has reportedly lost over $1 billion with his Rivian investment, and his other electric car investments may seem shaky, but in the long term the leftist politicians he has backed are expected to eliminate the competition and clear cars off the roads and highways.

Automakers are spending billions to build electric cars that no one wants and no one can afford because governments have assured them of a captive market. And after all that money flushed down the drain, their lobbyists are aggressively pressuring legislators to impose new bans and keep the existing bans in place. They』ve also been seduced with the promise of subsidies and tax credits that will free them from the pedestrian business of actually turning a profit.

Woke pension funds and party donors have kept the pressure on to see that it pays off.

Detroit』s bet that customers will just accept this as the new normal and just pay higher prices for worse performance is a bad one. The electric car mandates are the work of a Democrat party that is closely tied to a wealthy elite even as Republicans are becoming a working class party. Assuming that half the country will just accept being priced out of the car market when car ownership remains the key to economic and social mobility is as arrogant as it is clueless.

Even assuming that Republicans remain too dysfunctional and outmaneuvered to significantly roll back the leftist agenda, the new car market will drastically shrink. Americans, like Cubans, will desperately work to keep old cars going because for much of the country they will be the only option. The number of illegal cars on the road will dramatically increase. But as brownouts and energy shortages continue to hammer California and other blue states that have also gone all-in on solar and wind power, those will be the only cars that can actually remain on the road.

Woke car companies will have their monopoly handed to them only to find that it』s worthless.

Like their former European counterparts, American automakers will become even more deeply entangled with the government. The inverse spiral of subsidies and sales will climax in bankruptcies. Detroit has failed to innovate and electric car theater is no substitute for actually doing the work to make the cars that people want rather than the ones ad agencies try to make them want.

Letting government mandates instead of consumer demand drive sales is embraced by companies that have given up on even trying to make an appealing product. If electric vehicles were legitimately popular, it wouldn』t take a ban on cars to make them economically viable.

American automakers used to be revolutionary, now they』re the regime.


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發表評論 評論 (2 個評論)

回復 8288 2023-3-29 12:13
電瓶車的製造一點都不環保
後繼的電池報廢將會是個極大的問題
政客拚命在推動的不是個好東西.如果真那麼好老百姓自然會去買
環保始終是個假議題
回復 chineseman 2023-3-31 07:53
8288: 電瓶車的製造一點都不環保
後繼的電池報廢將會是個極大的問題
政客拚命在推動的不是個好東西.如果真那麼好老百姓自然會去買
環保始終是個假議題
和你想得一樣一樣的。

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