Sandy Hook 慘案后,奧巴馬簽署政令斥資1000萬美金讓美國疾病控制中心立即著手槍支暴力的研究。白宮對疾病控制中心的研究結果寄以厚望,希望為其力推的控槍舉措鋪平道路。幾個月後,報告出爐,卻讓白宮驚掉了下巴。疾病控制中心治學嚴謹的臭老九們著實讓奧巴馬下不了台。咱們的總統也只好上演沉默是金,對CDC的報告隻字不提。各位有興趣的可以從以下鏈接下載完整報告:
http://www.ncdsv.org/images/IOM-NRC_Priorities-for-Research-to-reduce-the-threat-of-firearm-related-violence_2013.pdf
既然,CDC的報告由總統全力推動而非NRA等的Pro-Gun團體炮製,我們不妨多看幾眼這標價千萬的報告。咱們可都是掏錢的主。
亮點一:持槍民眾不容易受到不法侵害。
「Studies that directly assessed the effect of actual defensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was 『used』 by the crime victim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have found consistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared with victims who used other self-protective strategies.
」
亮點二:依法用槍自衛相當普遍。每年公民持槍自衛成功的案例有50萬到300萬例之多。可以想象,在美國犯罪最大的顧忌是遇到持槍公民。
「「Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million per year…in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008.」
亮點三:意外死於在槍下,和在大規模槍擊案中喪身的人數僅僅占和槍械有關死亡人數的一小部分,而且已經在逐年下降。
「The number of public mass shootings of the type that occurred at Sandy Hook Elementary School accounted for a very small fraction of all firearm-related deaths. Since 1983 there have been 78 events in which 4 or more individuals were killed by a single perpetrator in 1 day in the United States, resulting in 547 victims and 476 injured persons.」 The report also notes, 「Unintentional firearm-related deaths have steadily declined during the past century. The number of unintentional deaths due to firearm-related incidents accounted for less than 1 percent of all unintentional fatalities in 2010.」
亮點四:大多數死於在槍下的,不是他殺,而是自殺。要自殺的話,死法太多,持之以恆總會成功。而用槍在自己身上轟個窟窿眼,實在不美觀。
「Between the years 2000-2010 firearm-related suicides significantly outnumbered homicides for all age groups, annually accounting for 61 percent of the more than 335,600 people who died from firearms related violence in the United States.
」
亮點五:控槍,禁槍,包括加強背景調查,對減少槍支暴力效果不明。
「Whether gun restrictions reduce firearm-related violence is an unresolved issue.」 The report could not conclude whether 「passage of right-to-carry laws decrease or increase violence crime.」
這裡不禁感慨老美的治學態度,還有那付皮囊里裹著的錚錚傲骨。這要是在天朝,習哥開過金口還賜了銀子,清華北大中科院的哪個奴才敢唱一出對台戲。呵呵,這或許就是美國第二修正案和天朝菜刀實名制的區別。民間有槍,免不了有人為非作歹。人民沒槍,免不了政府為非作歹。