本帖最後由 前兆 於 2015-11-9 13:17 編輯
CHOICES OF LU』S ARTICLES (11) 呂 氏 精 選 (11) 特大虛報與重大勝利
Especially big 「False Prediction」 made by China Experts and 「Significant Victory」 Once Again of Lu』s Earthquake Prediction Theory中國地震學家的特大虛報與呂大炯地震預報理論的又一次重大勝利
08月 16, 2012 發表評論
In Feb. 2010, Prof. Lu came back to Beijing and met Prof. Zhang Minghou who is a seismologist retired from The State Seismological Bureau. Zhang told to Lu that: 「A large earthquake, magnitude over 7 would occur in Beijing Area before the end of September this year at latest.」 Lu laughed instantly after listening his shocking prediction and said: 「Really? Let us wait and see.」
In September 2010, Lu called Zhang from Los Angeles,U.S.A. and asked: 「Are there any change for your prediction?」 Zhang answered: 「Up to now, the earthquake predicted by me didn』t occur yet. It seems the occurrence time would delay a litter bit, but I am sure it will occur indeed.」
In November 2010, Lu came back to Beijing and met Prof. Zhang again. Zhang said: 「The predicted area for epicenter seems to expand from Beijing area to North China and the occurrence time seems to delay and would occur before the end of March, 2011.」 Lu said: 「What would you say if it was a teleseism?」 (Note: a teleseism means an earthquake, its epicenter locates a certain area which is far away from Beijing even far away from North China.) Zhang said: 「It will be not a teleseism. I am sure it will be a large earthquake in North China.」 Lu said: 「Are you sure indeed?」 Zhang said: 「I am sure at this time: A large earthquake of magnitude over 7 would occur in North China before the end of March, 2011.」
Outcome: On March 11, 2011, a huge earthquake of magnitude 8.9 occurred in Japan. It was just a teleseism (it was far away from Beijing and even far away from North China) which Lu had anticipated. Prof. Zhang made an especially big false prediction. He was not fortunate like he had predicted the epicenter of Wenchuan Earthquake successfully.
According to Lu』s theory, it is possible that the local earthquake precursor anomaly is corresponding to strong teleseism. 「… This distant 『transfer』 of stress or the simultaneous triggering by astronomic factors causes the occurrence of precursor phenomenon corresponding to teleseism…」 (The book: Impending Earthquake Prediction,English version P149) The Prof. Zhang』s prediction was based on anomaly of terrestrial magnetism of Beijing area and even North china. In the same way this kind of earthquake precursor anomaly also may be corresponding to strong teleseism, in this case referring to Japan Huge Earthquake occurred on March 11, 2011.
Please readers think about followings carefully:
1.The occurrence time predicted by Prof. Zhang: before the end of March, 2011 at latest;
2.The magnitude predicted by Prof. Zhang: over 7;
3.Prof. Zhang affirmed extraordinarily that the epicenter would be in North China, like he had affirmed extraordinarily that the epicenter would be 100 km ambit around Chengdu City before Huge Wenchuan Earthquake.
Why did Prof. Zhang make an especially big 『False Prediction』 at this time ? The scientists in all over the world cannot dodge this problem and need to consider this problem in all seriousness. At same time, it is necessary for seismologists that Lu』s theory should be obtained correct appreciation.
China experts of earthquake prediction made false prediction again and again and again, then made failed prediction at last. The things continued this way in the past several tens years, some scientists considered pessimistically that earthquakes cannot be predicted; another scientists continued to keep on recurring according to same logic. Clearly,only Lu』s theory and Lu』s natural law just stop this kind of vicious circle.
The conclusion is that this event verified the correctness of Lu』s theory and natural law once again. It is a significant victory of Lu』s earthquake prediction theory once again.
When will China experts of earthquake prediction end their false prediction and failed predictions? Prof. Lu may wait to see and had wait for 36 years already, but people』s life cannot wait any more!!!
Let readers make deduction and decision by themselves for remaining problems according to Lu』s theory and natural law.
2010年2月呂大炯回北京時又見到了國家地震局的退休教授張閔厚。張告訴呂說:「北京地區將要發生七級以上大地震。這次地震最晚會在今年9月底以前發生。呂聽到這次駭人聽聞的預報,豁然一笑:「真的嗎?讓我們拭目以待吧!」
2010年9月,呂從美國洛杉磯給張打電話,問張預報意見有沒有變動?張說:「到目前為止,所預報的地震尚未發生。看來地震的發生時間會推遲一些,但它肯定會發生。
2010年11月呂回到北京時再次見到張教授。張說:這次地震的震中區域的預報範圍看來要擴大至華北地區。發震時間最晚會在2011年3月底之前。呂說:「會不會是遠震呢!」(註:即震中在遠離北京,遠離華北的某一地區)。張說:「不會是遠震,肯定是華北地區的大震。呂說:「你敢肯定嗎?」張說:「這次我敢肯定:2011年3月底以前,華北地區要發生七級以上大震。」
結果是:2011年3月,日本發生了 8.9 級巨大地震。正如呂所預料的是一次遠震。而張教授這次不像對汶川地震震中的預報那樣幸運,做了一次特大的虛報。
按照呂氏理論:「當地的地震前兆異常有可能與強烈遠震相對應。」張教授根據的是北京地區乃至華北地區的地磁異常。同樣地這種地震前兆異常也可以與強烈遠震相對應。在這個震例中,即與日本3月11日的巨震相對應。
請讀者仔細考慮一下:第一. 張教授預報的發震時間:最晚在2011年3月底以前;第二. 張教授預報的震級:七級以上;第三. 張教授異乎尋常地肯定是華北地區,就象他預報離汶川100公里的成都那樣的肯定。那麼為什麼這次會產生特大虛報呢!中國科學家乃至全世界科學家已經不能再廻避這一問題了,必須嚴肅認真地思考這一問題。中國的地震預報專家們虛報,虛報,再虛報,直至最後漏報。長此以往有人悲觀地認為地震不可預測,有人仍然按照此邏輯循環下去。中國地震專家們的虛報漏報何時了?呂大炯等得起,一等就是 36 年。人民的生命等不起呀!!!只有呂氏理論才能使這種循環得以中止。
結論就是:這次事件再一次驗證了呂氏理論與定律的正確性,是呂氏理論與定律的又一次重大勝利!
遺留下來的問題,就請讀者根據呂氏理論自己去進行推理與判斷吧!
本文若有不妥之處,請批評指正。
2011年3月11日,日本東北部名曲郡,房屋被強震引發的海嘯沖走。
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