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jedi_xie 發表於 2011-12-19 11:34 | 只看該作者 回帖獎勵 |倒序瀏覽 |閱讀模式
North Korean leader Kim Jong-il reported dead
Reuters  Dec 18, 2011 – 10:19 PM ET | Last Updated: Dec 18, 2011 10:34 PM ET

SEOUL, Dec 19 – North Korean leader Kim Jong-il, revered at home by a propaganda machine that turned him into a demi-god and vilified in the West as a temperamental tyrant with a nuclear arsenal, has died, North Korean state television reported on Monday.

Kim, who was 69 years old, died on Saturday, it said.

Kim was the unchallenged head of the reclusive state whose economy fell deeper into poverty during his years in power as he vexed the world by developing a nuclear arms programme and an arsenal of missiles aimed to hit neighbours Japan and South Korea.

Kim had been portrayed as a criminal mastermind behind deadly bombings, a jovial dinner host, a comic buffoon in Hollywood movies and by the administration of former U.S. President George W. Bush as the ruler of 「an outpost of tyranny」.

He was thought to have suffered a stroke in August 2008.

Known at home as 「the Dear Leader」, Kim took over North Korea in 1994 when his father and founder of the reclusive state Kim Il-sung, known as 「the Great Leader」, died.

Kim Jong-il, famed for his bouffant hair-do, platform shoes and jump suits, slowly emerged from his father』s shadows to become one of the world』s most enigmatic leaders who put North Korea on the path of becoming a nuclear power.

His state was also frequently cited as a threat to global stability.

EARLY YEARS

Despite being on the world stage longer than most world leaders, little was known about Kim. He rarely spoke in public, almost never travelled abroad and has an official biography that is steeped in propaganda but lacking in concrete substance.

Kim had a host of titles in North Korea, but president was not one of them. Kim Il-sung was given the posthumous title of president for life, while his son』s most powerful posts included the chairman of the National Defence Commission, the real centre of power in North Korea, and Supreme Commander of the Korea People』s Army.

North Korean propaganda said Kim Jong-il was born on Feb. 16, 1942, at a secret camp for rebel fighters led by his father near Korea』s famed Mount Paektu. But analysts say he was likely born in the Soviet Union when his father was with other Korean communist exiles receiving military and other training.

His official biography said that in elementary school he showed his revolutionary spirit by leading marches to battlefields where Korean rebels fought against Japanese occupiers of the peninsula.

By the time he was in middle school he had shown himself to be an exemplary factory worker who could repair trucks and electric motors.

He went to Kim Il-sung University where he studied the great works of communist thinkers as well as his father』s revolutionary theory, in a systematic way, state propaganda said.

North Korea analysts said however, Kim lived a life of privilege in the capital, Pyongyang, when his family returned to the divided peninsula in 1945.

The Soviets later installed Kim Il-sung as the new leader of North Korea and the family lived in a Pyongyang mansion formerly occupied by a Japanese officer.

Kim Jong-il』s younger brother mysteriously drowned in a pool at the residence in 1947.

Kim likely spent many of his younger years in China to receive an education and to keep him safe during the 1950-1953 Korean War, analysts said.

ANOINTED SUCCESSOR

After graduating from college, Kim joined the ruling Worker』s Party of Korea in 1964 and quickly rose through its ranks. By 1973, he was the party』s secretary of organisation and propaganda, and in 1974 his father anointed him as his successor.

Kim gradually increased his power in domestic affairs over the following years and his control within the ruling party greatly increased when the younger Kim was given senior posts in the Politburo and Military Commission in 1980.

Intelligence experts say Kim ordered a 1983 bombing in Myanmar that killed 17 senior South Korean officials and the destruction of a Korean Air jetliner in 1987 that killed 115.

He is also suspected of devising plans to raise cash by kidnapping Japanese, dealing drugs through North Korean embassies and turning the country into a major producer of counterfeit currency.

Kim was known as a womaniser, a drinker and a movie buff, according to those people who had been in close contact with him and later left the country. He enjoyed ogling Russian dancing girls, amassing a wine cellar with more than 10,000 bottles and downing massive amounts of lobster and cognac.

North Korea』s propaganda machine painted a much more different picture.

It said Kim piloted jet fighters — even though he travelled by land for his infrequent trips abroad. He penned operas, had a photographic memory, produced movies and accomplished a feat unmatched in the annals of professional golf, shooting 11 holes-in-one on the first round he ever played.

When he first took power in 1994, many analysts thought Kim』s term as North Korea』s leader would be short-lived and powerful elements in the military would rise up to take control of the state.

The already anaemic economy was in a shambles due to the end of the Cold War and the loss of traditional trading partners. Poor harvests and floods led to about 1 million people to die in a famine in the 1990s after he took power.

Despite the tenuous position from which he started, Kim managed to stay in power. He also installed economic reforms that were designed to bring a small and controlled amount of free-market economics into the state-planned economy.

NUCLEAR POWER

His greatest moment may have come on June 15, 2000, when he hosted the first summit of the leaders of the two Koreas when then South Korean Kim Dae-jung visited Pyongyang.

Kim』s image was transformed from a feared and mysterious leader to a kind-hearted host who had the world knocking on his door. A landmark summit with then U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and Russian President Vladimir Putin soon followed the visit by South Korea』s president.

The ray of sunshine out of the North then came to an end.

In 2002, tension rose after Washington said Pyongyang had admitted to pursuing a nuclear arms programme in violation of a 1994 agreement that was to have frozen its atomic ambitions.

North Korea expelled International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors in December 2002 and said in January 2003 it was quitting the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

In February 2005, North Korea said it had nuclear weapons and in October 2006, it rattled the region by exploding a nuclear device. North Korea conducted a second nuclear test in May 2009.

Kim Jong-il reportedly told visitors that it was the dying wish of his father to see the Korean peninsula free of nuclear weapons and he wanted to work toward that end, but he first wanted to see the United States treat his state with respect.

Tensions heightened to their highest levels in years in 2010 with the torpedoing of a South Korean warship, killing 46 sailors. The South blamed the attack on Pyongyang, but North denied responsibility. Later that year, the North bombarded a South Korean island, the first such attack against civilian target since the 1950-53 Korean War.

This year, Kim』s health appeared to have improved and he visibly gained weight. He visited China twice and travelled to Russia for the first time in nearly a decade.

Kim has three known sons. He is believed to have anointed the youngest, Kim Jong-un, to succeed him.

South Korea military placed on emergency alert

South Korea』s military has been put on emergency alert following the report of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il』s death, Yonhap news agency said on Monday.

South Korea』s presidential Blue House has called an emergency National Security Council meeting, Yonhap said.

© Thomson Reuters 2011
Do or do not... there is no try.

Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering

Yesterday is History, Tomorrow a Mystery, Today is a Gift, That's why it's called the Present.

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小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 11:39 | 只看該作者
朝媒稱金正日死於急性心肌梗塞併發心源性休克
2011年12月19日 11:40 來源:中國新聞網 

  中新網12月19日電 據朝中社19日報道,朝鮮國防委員長金正日17日去世,死因是急性心肌梗塞併發心源性休克。

  朝中社當天報道說,由於日積月累的身心疲勞,金正日於17日上午在列車上出現急性心肌梗塞併發信源性休克癥狀,儘管採取了所有急救措施,但不幸於17日上午8時30分去世。

  報道還說,在18日進行的病理解剖檢查中最終確定了死因。
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 樓主| jedi_xie 發表於 2011-12-19 11:53 | 只看該作者
小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 11:39
朝媒稱金正日死於急性心肌梗塞併發心源性休克
2011年12月19日 11:40 來源:中國新聞網 

後事安排好了么?別給中國添亂就好。
Do or do not... there is no try.

Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering

Yesterday is History, Tomorrow a Mystery, Today is a Gift, That's why it's called the Present.
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小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 11:55 | 只看該作者
jedi_xie 發表於 2011-12-19 11:53
後事安排好了么?別給中國添亂就好。

據一些國內網站報道,中國東北有軍隊調動。
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 樓主| jedi_xie 發表於 2011-12-19 11:58 | 只看該作者
小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 11:55
據一些國內網站報道,中國東北有軍隊調動。

是要防著的,那邊一大亂的話,得有人主持公道。
Do or do not... there is no try.

Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering

Yesterday is History, Tomorrow a Mystery, Today is a Gift, That's why it's called the Present.
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小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 12:06 | 只看該作者
本帖最後由 小康人家 於 2011-12-19 12:07 編輯

金正日死亡消息曝光:中國東北軍緊急換防?!

時間:2011-11-09 15:10來源:未知 作者:lzmmil 文字大小:大 中 小

11月8日,有關北韓國防委員長金正日死亡的謠言傳開,導致韓國股市暴跌、匯率飆升。

  當天,韓國有價證券市場KOSPI指數開盤后一直在前一個交易日收盤價1915點上下浮動。而到了下午2時20分,傳出金正日死亡的消息,使得股價急劇下挫,最終以1903.14點收盤,較前一個交易日下跌0.8%(15.96點)。另外,在外匯市場,剛剛有走強跡象的韓元,也在這一消息傳出后開始走軟,最終以1美元兌1121韓元收盤,比前一天上漲4.1韓元。

  受此影響,當天軍工產業股價卻大幅上漲。當天,S&T重工的股價以15900韓元收盤,較前一天驟增6.0%,還有SPECO、MDS technology及Hunneed technologies也較前一天分別上漲4.2%、3.7%和3.5%。

  當天,在網際網路上有關金正日死亡的消息也成了熱點話題。甚至一些網民指出,政府和執政黨有意散播這一傳聞,是為了讓韓美自由貿易協定(FTA)儘快通過。不過,政府相關人士就金正日死亡傳聞表示:「從不曾聽說。」統一部相關人士也說,北韓媒體昨天也報道了金正日公開活動的內容,未發現金正日有異常動向。

  當天在金融市場上,除了金正日死亡消息外,還傳出其他傳聞。例如,以色列即將打擊伊朗核設施,或歐債折價損失導致日本某大型金融公司面臨危機,或是電費下調讓美國三大電力公司申請破產保護等。對此,新韓金融投資方面表示:「都是些無法確認事實的傳聞。可能是臨近股指期貨期(10日),投資者們發揮了各種想象力。」大宇證券公司表示:「如果市場確實受到這一消息的影響,應該跌幅會更大。不過這只是通過網路傳出的小道消息,所以沒有太大影響力。」

金正日死後,中國怎麼辦?

  可能沒有那個國家領導人的死比金正日的死帶給中國更大的衝擊了。

  命運之神唯一能公正之處,就是誰都不能免死。無論是帝皇將相,還是螻蟻民眾,所活的歲數大至相當,最後都要到死神那裡去報道。金正日死後,朝鮮將何去何從?作為一衣帶水的中國,做好應對準備了嗎?

  金正日死後,據說很可能還將帝位傳予三子金正恩。如果金正恩能順利繼承帝位並穩坐其位,對中國來說,可能還有較長時間的「緩衝」期。子承父位順利地進行,一般來說其國策不會有多大的變動。在這個時段里,中國還能騰出足夠的時間應對金正恩死後朝鮮的變化。

  而問題是,中國可能等不到這個時間了。據報載,朝鮮目前各種問題困擾,社會和政權組織已達到崩潰的邊緣。朝鮮國家政權的運作現完全繫於金氏集團的極度專政。國家的一切集中在一個人手中,其危險性是不言而喻的:誰也說不清掌握這種高度集權的人一旦死去,這種集權將如何釋放?在極權國家裡,「穩定」常常只是表面上的,內在的「激流」無所不在。

  金正恩能繼承帝位,順利施政,在金正日死前看來是「自然而然」的,但金正日死後,多種力量的角力,難以預料鹿歸誰手――實際上,人們現在已看出端倪:在這個世上最堅固最緊閉的堡壘里,也不斷出現高官叛逃和神秘死亡――足以了解其內「暗流洶湧」的一鱗半爪(就算金正恩能順利繼位,危險也是一樣的,只不過危險「后延」了)。

而金正日政權目前又已完全沒有改良的可行性。這種性質的政權起於謊言,以謊言維持,丁點改良都將使謊言大白於天下,所以只能不斷地以謊言來證實謊言。如果改良,謊言捅破,甚至等不到金正日死去政權就崩潰了。

  而且,最硬的道理是:一個政權不可能長久以這種姿態存在下去――其人民總會有覺醒的一天。其周邊是富裕民主的同胞韓國、改革后強大起來的傳統盟友中國、民主自由化后的俄羅斯......所以,朝鮮現政權崩潰是肯定的,崩潰最有可能在金正日死後。

  崩潰的後果是什麼呢?最直接的是極度混亂。現政權鐵板一樣的封鎖,都有幾十萬朝鮮人流離中國;現政權崩潰后的混亂無序可想而知。

  朝鮮現政權崩潰時,不論是外力(韓美)的介入(這以後談到),還是內部的爭權奪利,都勢必產生難以估算的難民潮。這些難民潮湧入韓國不太可能――三八線防守嚴密;湧入俄羅斯不太可能――沒有傳統的交往;這些難民只能湧入傳統「友好」的、有同胞民族的中國――中朝邊境很容易跨越的,基於「傳統的友誼」,中國也得接收他們。

而這些,在中國人的內心顯然是不樂意麵對的。在這個不遠的將來,中國的改革也到了緊要關頭,任何外來的衝擊都不利於國家的發展。歷年以來,中國政府到底給了朝鮮多少援助,估計朝鮮人民也不清楚。因此,這些援助不可能使朝鮮人民對中國懷有感激之情。崩潰形成的「朝鮮難民」,相信大部分是把中國當成避難所而已,時局穩定后還將返回朝鮮。

  但不能排除相當的別有用心者,將把延邊地區當成他們的「阿富汗」,在此傳播他們「大韓民族」的幻想……而且,這些將來的「本拉丹」們將比阿富汗的拉丹而令人恐怖,比藏獨疆獨更難對付:他們甚至有核臟彈……當逼迫之下,中國政府不得不採取措施時,中國人民就憑空多了一個負擔。

  因此,在金正日在世這有限的時間裡,在相對穩定的有限機遇中,中國必須做好應對出現各種情況的準備。近來,看到東北正常的換防,是否也可以當作一種準備的措施?但所有的準備,中國都想到了嗎?都能做到嗎?
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 樓主| jedi_xie 發表於 2011-12-19 12:09 | 只看該作者
小康人家 發表於 2011-12-19 12:06
金正日死亡消息曝光:中國東北軍緊急換防?!

時間:2011-11-09 15:10來源:未知 作者:lzmmil 文字大小:大 ...

要是大亂,大量難民湧來,就要馬上出兵維和了。
Do or do not... there is no try.

Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering

Yesterday is History, Tomorrow a Mystery, Today is a Gift, That's why it's called the Present.
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泰山石敢當 發表於 2011-12-19 21:49 | 只看該作者
正日死了,
北棒悲泣,
南棒慌張,
狗奴們卻又象打了雞血了。
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平安10 發表於 2011-12-19 22:25 | 只看該作者
沒見北韓悲泣呀?西棒不要自做多情。
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寒冬開梅 發表於 2011-12-20 00:05 | 只看該作者
平安10 發表於 2011-12-19 22:25
沒見北韓悲泣呀?西棒不要自做多情。

請看圖片新聞:

http://my.backchina.com/chinesef ... 1028595-page-1.html
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