（A) THE AUTHOR IS WAITING FOR ANSWERS FROM ALL THE UPRIGHT PEOPLE IN CHINA AND

AT ALL TIMES AND OVER ALL THE WORLD, APART FROM PROF. DAJIONG LU WHO ELSE IN THE WORLD HAS MADE SUCH SUCCESSFUL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTIONS?

---The author is waiting for answers from all the upright people in China and in all over the world---

1.   PROF.DAJIONG LU OBTAINED UNPARALLELED SUCCESS IN PREDICTING THE CHIL』S EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 7.9.

AROUND 10:00 AM NOV. 30, 1976, MANY PEOPLE FROM THE BEIJING SEISMIC BRIGADE AND CHINESE ACADEMY OF METROLOGY RESEARCH CAME TO VISIT PROF. LU』S EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION STATION WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR MIYUN RESERVOIR IN THE SUBURB OF BEIJING. WHILE THEY WERE COMING INTO PROF. LU』S LABORATORY THEY SAW THE TAIL OF STRONG TELESEISM WAVE WHICH HAD BEEN RECORDED BY PROF. LU』S LASER PHASE-LOCKED STRAINOMETER. AT THAT TIME, LU  POINTED AT THE  SEISMIC WAVE RECORDED BY A TREMBLE NEEDLE AND SAID THAT 「YESTERDAY I PREDICTED TO MIYUN RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE OBSERVATION STATION THAT AT 9:04 AM TOMORROW A STRONG TELESEISM ( NAMELY, FAR AWAY FROM BEIJING) WOULD OCCUR IN THE EARTH. THIS IS THE SEISMIC WAVE OF MAGNITUDE 7.9 OF CHILE, ITS ARRIVAL TIME WAS 9:00 AM. THE TIME DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ITS ARRIVAL TIME AND THE OCCURRENCE TIME PREDICTED BY ME IS 4 MINUTES.」 THEY WERE VERY SURPRISED AND CAN NOT BELIEVE, AND THEN ASKED THE STAFF MEMBER OF RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE STATION. MR. SUN SHI-HONG, THE TECHNICIAN OF STATION VERIFIED THAT IT IS TRUE!

THIS WAS FIRST CALCULATED BY PRO. DAJIONG LU ON THE EVENING OF NOVEMBER 29, 1976 ACCOUNDING TO THE REVERSE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUDDEN JUMPS RECORDED BY THE LASER PHASE LOCKED STRAINOMETER (PLEASE REFER TO 「IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION」 CHINESE VERSION P. 61; ENGLISH VERSION P. 45, AND ALSO REFER TO 「EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST」 ENGLISH VERSION P. 28 ). THEN GOING TO RECORDING MAP OF THE BEDROCK EARTH CURRENT RECORDER TO LOOK FOR CORRESPONDING SPECIFIC PRECURSOR MODEL WHICH ONLY STRONG EARTHQUAKE HAVE. FINALLY IT WAS FOUND OUT THAT THE EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME CALCULATED BY STRAIN AND EARTH CURRENT (STRAIN 9:04 AM AND EARTH CURRENT 8:58 AM) WAS DIFFERENT BUT CLOSE TO EACH OTHER EXTRAORDINARY. AS A RESULT, ON THE EVENING OF THE 29th, PROF. LU ISSUED THE ABOVE-MENTIONED PREDICTION TO THE BEIJING SEISMIC BRIGADE STATION.

FROM THE 12th DAY AFTER THE TANGSHAN EARTHQUAKE (NAMELY PROF. LU STARTED TO RESEARCH EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FROM AUGUST 9, 1976) TO NOV.29th THE SAME YEAR (NAMELY ABOVE-MENTIONED PREDICTION WAS ISSUED BY PROF. LU) THE TIME INTERVAL WAS 112 DAYS ONLY !

THE FORECAST WAS OBTAINED ACCORDING TO THE TELESEISM PRECURSOR SIGNAL DISCOVERED BY PROF. LU. BASED ON THIS TELESEISM IS FAR AWAY FROM THE STATION (ABOUT 10000 KM) AND THE TIME DIFFERENCE OF PREDICTION (4 MIN ) IS SO ACCURATE, THEREFORE, IT CAN BE SAID THAT THE DISCOVERY OF THE TELESEISM PRECURSOR SIGNALS AND THEIR MODELS IS ONE OF GREATEST DISCOVERIES IN THE 20th CENTURY !

2.   PROF. LU PREDICTED A NEAR EARTHQUAKE ACCURATELY.

DURING THE MAY AND JUNE, 1978, MR. GUAN WEIYAN (THE RESPONSIBLE PERSON OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS, THE CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES) SAID TO DAJIONG LU (WHO WAS ENGAGING IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH AT THE SAME INSTITUTE) : 「NOW YOU HAVE A GREAT REPUTATION OUTSIDE, AND THE GENERAL ATAFF HAS GIVEN OUR INSTITUTE A LETTER FOR CONFIRMING THE TRUTH OF SUCCESSFUL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION OBTAINED BY YOU! CAN YOU PREDICT A EARTHQUAKE DIRECT TO OUR INSTITUTE BEFORE A EARTHQUAKE OCCUR?」  LU ANSWERED: 「OK! I WOULD PREDICT A EARTHQUAKE AGAIN DIRECT TO THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF OUR INSTITUTE IF I COULD MAKE A PHONE CALL DIRECT GO THROUGH TO THE DUTY OFFICE WITHOUT MEETING DIFFICULTY. THE DUTY OFFICE WILL HAVE A RECORD, SO THAT THERE ARE A PROOF FOR SUCCESS OR NOT.」 MR. GUAN AGREED WITH LU』S OPINION AND EXPRESS: TO MAKE SURE THAT THE DUTY OFFICE HAVE A TRUE RECORD!

(IT NEEDS TO BE EXPLAINED AGAIN HERE: AS MENTIONED EARLIER , IT WAS DIFFICULT FOR LU TO MAKE PHONE CALLS FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR SEISMIC STATION TO PREDICT EARTHQUAKES TO CONCERN UNITS, SO THE GENERAL STAFF ADMINISTRATION BUREAU HAD SET UP A MILITARY TELEPHONE LINE FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR SEISMIC STATION TO THE GENERAL STAFF ADMINISTRATION BUREAU IN BEIJING FOR LU. THIS MILITARY LINE WAS EASIER TO MAKE FORECASTS, SO MOST OF LU』S PREDICTIONS WERE DIRECT TO THE GENERAL STAFF BEFORE MR. GUAN PUT FORWARD THIS REQUEST.)

ON THE EVENING OF JUNE 10, 1978, DAJIONG LU CONCLUDED FROM THE ANALYSIS OF EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR DATA THAT A NEAR EARTHQUAKE WOULD OCCUR TEMORROW. SO LU DIDN』T GO TO BED UNTIL 1:00 AM, AND GOT UP AT 4:00 AM  IN THE MORNING OF JUNE 11. AFTER CHECKING THE LATEST IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR DATA AGAIN, LU IMMEDIATELY MAKE A PHONE CALL TO THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS THROUGH THE TELEPHONE OPERATOR OF THE MIYUN RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT OFFICE (THANK GOD, THIS PHONE CALL WENT THROUGH SMOOTHLY, PERHAPS IN THE EARLY HOURS OF THE MORNING THE TELEPHONE IS EASY TO GET THROUGH!) : 「A NEAR EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 5 OR SO IS GOING TO OCCUR AT 13:18 ON THE SAME DAY (NAMELY, JUNE 11, 1978), THE EPICENTER WILL BE ABOUT 200KM AWAY FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR WITH SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS REPORTED TO THE LEADER, QIAO XING-NAN, OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS (SECRETARY OF THE PARTY COMMITTEE) IMMEDIATELY AND ASKED IF IT IS NECESSARY TO REPORT TO THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES. THE LEADER REPLIED: 「OF COURSE!」 THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES ALSO REPORTED TO THE HEAD OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES AND ASKED IF IT IS NECESSARY TO REPORT TO THE SEISMOLOGICAL BUREAU. THE LEADER OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES REPLIED: 「OF COURSE」.

AROUND NOON, THE SAME DAY, THE STAFF OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL BUREAU SAT DOWN AROUND THE SEISMOGRAPH AND WAS WAITING FOR  THE EARTHQUAKE PREDICTED BY LU. OUTCOME: AN EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 4.8 AND ANOTHER EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 4.4 BOTH OCCURRED IN LEIZHUANG AT 12:29 PM AND 13:52 PM ON THE SAME RESPECTIVELY! THE MEDIAN TIME BETWEEN TWO EARTHQUAKES WAS 13:10 PM, 8 MINUTES ONLY FROM 13:18 PREDICTED BY LU. IN ADDITION, THE ENERGY SUMM,ATION OF TWO QUAKES WAS EQUAL TO THE ENERGY OF EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 5. TO THIS END, GUANGMING DAILY REPORTER SENT AN INTERNAL REFERENCE TO THE CENTRAL AUTHORITIES REPORTING THIS EXTREMELY SUCCESSFUL FORECAST! (PLEASE REFER TO 「EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST」 ENGLISH VERSION P. 29 ).

3.   PROF. LU PREDICTED A TELESEISM ACCURATELY.

ON MARCH 6, 1978, PROF. LU MADE A REPORT TO THE SHOCK PREVENTION OFFICE UNDER THE HEADQUARTERS OF THE GENERAL STAFF OF THE CHINESE PEOPLE』S LIBERATION ARMY AND FORECAST THAT 10:00 AM ON MARCH 7, 1978, AN EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE OVER 7 WOULD OCCUR NEAR JAPAN. OUTCOME: THE EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 7.5 OCCURRED IN JAPAN SEA AT 10:48 AM ON MARCH 7, 1978. THE TIME DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ACTUAL OCCURRENCE TIME OF EARTHQUAKE AND OCCURRENCE TIME PREDICTED BY LU WAS 48 MINUTES. (PLEASE REFER TO 「EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST」 ENGLISH VERSION P. 30. )

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IS 「SQUEAKY CLEAN」, NO 「WADING IN MUD AND WATER」 AND NEVER 「CALL THE WOLVES」 DAY BY DAY!

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION NEEDN』T TO KNOW SPECIFIC CIRCUMSTANCES ABOUT ANY ANIMAL ANOMALIES, CRUSTAL CHANGES IN THE EPICENTER AND SO ON BEFORE IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE.

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION ACHIEVED MORE ACCURATE IN TIME THAN WEATHER FORECAST, AND ACHIEVED THE TELEMETRY PREDICTION IN DISTANCE FOR TELESEISM WHICH IS 1500-2000 KM FAR AWAY FROM THE EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR OBSERVATION STATION.

AS A RESULT, THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION POSSESS GREAT SCIENTIFIC SIGNIFICANCE; IT COULD MAKE IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION REACH THE PRACITICAL STAGE IF IT COULD ACT IN CONCERT WITH OTHER RELIABLE MEANS OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION.

AT ALL TIMES AND ALL OVER THE WORLD, APART FROM PROF. DAJIONG LU, WHO ELSO IN THE WORLD HAS MADE SUCH SUCCESSFUL PREDICTIONS?

古今中外，世界上除了呂大炯教授之外還有哪一位科學家有這樣成功的預報？

   ---   這個問題作者等待全中國，乃至全世界所有正直的人們的回答！！！

1.    呂大炯教授舉世無雙的成功的預報智利7.9級地震的震例！

    1976年11月30日上午10:00 左右, 中國計量科學研究院與北京地震大隊約有20 ~ 30 人來參 觀呂大炯正在從事地震前兆觀測研究的密雲水庫台站. 當他們剛踏入前兆記錄實驗室時,恰好看到激光鎖相應變儀正在記錄著一次強烈遠震的地震波的尾部. 那時, 呂大炯指著正在被顫抖著的記錄筆記錄著的地震波說: 「昨天我向北京地震大隊密雲水庫地震台 預報了今天上午 9:04 左右會發生一次強烈遠震. 我指的就是現在正在記錄著的智利 7.9 級地震. 這次地震到達本台站的時間是今天上午9:00 , 到達本台站的時間與我所預報的發震時間僅差 4 分鐘.」 他們聽后感到十二萬分的驚訝, 並且難以置信. 就去問地震台的工作人員. 兩位工作人員 都給予了肯定的回答.

   這是呂大炯於 1976年11月29日晚首先根據激光鎖相應變儀所記錄到的突跳反向特性推算 出來的 (請參看」臨震預報」中文版 P.61, 英文版 P.45 及」震兆雲霞」 中文版P.72, 日文版P.??).  然 后再到基岩地電記錄儀的記錄圖上去尋找相應的只有強震才具有的特定的前兆模式. 發現用應 變及地電兩者所推算出來的發震時間(應變 9:04 AM 及地電8:58AM) 異乎尋常的接近. 於是才在 29 日晚向地震台發出了上述預報.

   呂大炯從唐山地震后第 12 天 (即 1976 年 8 月 9 日)開始研究地震預報,到同年11月29 日發 出這次預報, 兩者之間的時間間隔為 112 天. 這次預報是根據呂大炯所發現的遠震前兆信號所得 到的. 這次遠震離台站距離之遠(達 10000公里左右)及預報時間之精確(時差 4 分鐘),因此可以 說: 這些遠震前兆信號及其模式的發現是 20 世紀最偉大的發現之一.

所以說：呂大炯對智利地震震時的預報內涵著20 世紀最偉大的發現之一。

2.    呂大炯教授對於近震的精準預報：

1978年5~6月份，中國科學院物理研究所業務負責人管惟炎先生對正在該所從事地震預報研究的呂大炯說：「你在外面的名聲已經很大了，總參也給你寫了預報成功的證明，你給咱們物理所也預報一個呀！」呂大炯回答說：「好吧！只要給物理所地震值班室的電話能打通，我就再給地震值班室預報一次。值班室會有記錄，這樣就可以有一個預報成功與否的憑據。」管也同意這樣的做法，並表示會請值班室作好記錄。

（這裡需要再一次說明：前面已經講過，呂大炯從密雲水庫地震台站打電話預報比較困難，所以總參管理局給呂架設了一條軍用電話線，從密雲水庫地震台站直通北京城內的總參管理局。這條軍用線比較便於發出預報，所以在管惟炎提出這一要求之前呂大多數是給總參預報的。）

1978年6月10日晚，呂大炯從地震前兆資料分析得出：一個近震將要在明天發生。於是在6月11日凌晨4點鈡再一次查看最新的臨震預報資料后，立即通過密雲水庫管理處電話接線員給物理所地震值班室打電話預報（感謝上帝，這次順利地打通了！也許是凌晨，電話容易接通吧！）：「一個5級左右的近震將要在當天（1978年6月11日）13點18分發生。震中將位於離密雲水庫東南方向200 公里左右的地區…… 。」物理所的地震值班室立即向物理所的領導（黨委書記）報告，並詢問要不要向科學院報告。所領導回答說「當然。」科學院地震值班室又向院領導報告並請示要不要向地震局報告。院領導的回答是：「當然。」

屆時，地震局的工作人員在呂所預報地震將要發生的時間圍繞地震儀等候。結果：一個4.8級地震及一個4.4級地震分別於當日12點29分及當日13點52分發生在雷庄。這兩次地震的中間時間是13點10分，與呂所預報的13點18分僅相差8分鈡。兩次地震的能量總和相當於一次5級地震。為此，光明日報記者向中央發了內參，報告了這次極其成功的預報。

3.    呂大炯教授對於遠震的精準預報：

1978年3月6日呂大炯向總參謀部防震辦公室預報: 1978年3月7日(即第二天)上午10:00左右在日 本附近可能發生7級以上地震. 結果於3月7日上午10:48在日本附近的日本海發生了7.5級地震. 所預報的發震.時間與實際地震發生時間之差為48分鐘. .(請參看」臨震預報」中文版P.236,英文 P.173, 」震兆雲霞」中文版P.43, 日文版? 第48次預報)

這種臨震預報乾淨利落, 決無拖泥帶水. 沒有天天喊狼來; 這種臨震預報根本不需要知道震中 地區在臨震前的任何動物異常,地殼變動等具體情況;這種臨震預報實現了在時間方面比天氣 預報還要準確,在震中方面實現了對幾千公里(這次為1500 –2000公里) 之外的遠震進行遙測預 報,

因此這種臨震預報在科學上具有重要意義;若與其它可靠的臨震預報手段配合,可以使臨震預 報達到實用階段.

古今中外，世界上除了呂大炯教授之外還有哪一位科學家有這樣成功的預報？

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